Ukrainian grain exports
Grain exports

Africa could be hit hard by loss of Ukrainian grain exports – Kiel Institute

African countries may be hit hard by any continuing halt to Ukrainian grain exports caused by the war, a report from Germany’s Kiel Institute for the World Economy said on Friday.

“The war in Ukraine could significantly worsen the supply of cereals used in food production in African countries, making food more expensive if Ukraine ceases to be a grain supplier,” the Kiel Institute said.

“The country supplies large quantities of grain to North African states in particular, which other sources of supply could not replace even in the long run.”

Ukrainian grain exports

Grain importers globally have been hit by surging prices, with wheat around 14-year highs following the sudden stop of exports from Ukraine and a sharp reduction from Russia. The conflict has closed grain export ports.

Read also: Ghana’s agricultural sector: Implications of Russia-Ukraine war, remedial measures for sustainable productivity

Russia and Ukraine contribute nearly 30% of global wheat exports along with large volumes of animal feed grains and edible oils, with shipments massively cut by the fighting.

“Due to the war, Ukraine is likely to be initially cut off from the global economy, trade routes have been cut, infrastructure destroyed and all remaining production factors are likely to be directed towards a war economy,” said the institute.

Ukrainian grain exports, Kiel Institute, Africa could be hit hard by loss of Ukrainian grain exports, exports

It added: “Losing Ukraine as a supplier will noticeably worsen the supply situation across the continent.”

Among the countries hardest hit could be Tunisia, where the country’s total wheat imports would decrease by over 15%. Egypt would import 17% less while South Africa would import 7% less.

Read also: Outlook of the global mandarin market

Grain imports would also be noticeably disrupted in countries such as Cameroon, Algeria, Libya, Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Morocco, and Mozambique.

Germany was due to hold a meeting of agriculture ministers of the G7 nations on Friday to discuss the consequences of the Ukraine conflict for global food security.

The Choice Press is an online news portal that seeks to project what the gallant small-scale farmers in Africa are doing. We basically report on everything that has to do with agriculture and agribusiness, especially in Ghana.
%d bloggers like this: